Oct. 26, 2020 – The market appears to have realized over the weekend that an financial stimulus invoice is not getting permitted earlier than the election.
Meaning the timing of a brand new stimulus invoice is now depending on the result of the election, the place the least doubtless end result based on polling and prediction markets, a GOP sweep, or most likely even a GOP win within the Senate and White Home, is the state of affairs the place a brand new stimulus invoice will get permitted the quickest. The opposite two situations, a Democratic sweep, or a Biden victory and the GOP retaining management of the Senate, doubtless imply a brand new stimulus invoice does not get permitted till after Inauguration Day.
This state of affairs doubtless means a continuation of what we have seen out there just lately. Huge tech and some different areas might proceed to carry out comparatively effectively, whereas corporations and industries that want a rising economic system to do effectively, will doubtless underperform.
It is not all dangerous information although. Earnings season is in full swing this week, with most of these mega-cap tech corporations reporting, in addition to broad cross-section of shares from throughout the economic system. We wrote on Friday about how earnings season goes. If there’s a week the place earnings information may push all the market greater, this week has a very good likelihood of doing it. Now that the stimulus talks are finished, earnings is the one recreation in market-town for some time.
Financial Occasions this Week
- 8:30 a.m. – Sturdy Items Orders
- 10:00 a.m. – Client Confidence
- 10:30 a.m. – EIA Crude Oil Inventories
- 8:30 a.m. – Preliminary Claims
- 8:30 a.m. – Third Quarter GDP
- 8:30 a.m. – Private Earnings and Spending
- 8:30 a.m. – PCE Costs
- 9:45 a.m. – Chicago PMI
Earnings Stories this Week
Earlier than the bell: MMM, ARCC, AWI, BP, CAT, CNC, GLW, CROX, CMU, ECL, LLY, BEN, HOG, HUBB, IVZ, JBLU, LH, MRK, MSM, ODFL, OMC, BTU, PFE, PUU, RTX, QSR, ROP, SPGI, SHW, SSTK, SWK, SHOO, TECK, TRU, TPB, WDR, XRX
After the bell: ACCO, AMD, AFL, AKAM, ARES, APAM, BXP, CHRW, CB, CYH, DENN, DXCM, EGP, EIX, WIRE, EQR, FEYE, FSLR, FISV, FTV, THG, HA, IEX, JBT, JNPR, KAI, LSCC, MASI, MTDR, MXIM, MSFT, OI, OKE, PPD, RNR, SKY, SWI, TEX, TRMK, RARE, UNM, VAR, VECO
Earlier than the bell: ANTM, ADP, BKU, BX, BA, BSX, EAT, BG, CME, DAN, DBD, DIN, EPD, FSV, FVRR, FDP, GRMN, GNRC, GD, GE, HES, LM, MAS, MA, NSC, R, SEE, SIX, SNE, SF, TEL, TW, TUP, UPS, GRA
After the bell: ALGT, AFG, AMP, AMGN, NLY, AVB, BLKB, BOOT, CACI, ELY, CERN, CGNX, CTSH, CXO, CUZ, CREE, CONE, DRE, EBAY, ECHO, EQIX, ETSY, FSLY, F, GILD, GRUB, KBR, KLAC, MAA, MOH, MUSA, NDLS, ORLY, PE, PEN, PKI, PPC, PINS, RYN, RCII, SCI, NOW, SAVE, SFM, SRI, RGR, SPWR, TDOC, TXRH, TROX, URI, VVV, V, WCN, WELL, WERN, WDC, YUMC
Earlier than the bell: FLWS, AOS, AAN, ALZN, ALKS, ATI, ADS, AMT, BUD, APO, APTV, HOME, BAX, BWA, BCO, BC, CCL, CBRA, CHD, CMS, CNX, CFX, CMCSA, COP, CTB, DNKN, DD, FSS, FIS, GIL, GPN, HUN, IDA, IDXX, IP, Okay, KDP, KHC, LAZ, MGLN, MMC, MLM, MLCO, MRNA, TAP, MCO, NEM, NVCR, OSK, OSTK, PENN, PWR, RL, SNY, SNDR, SHOP, SO, SPOT, TROW, TPR, TPX, TXT, TKR, SLCA, WAB, WD, WLTW, XYL, YUM
After the bell: ATVI, GOOG, AMZN, AAPL, ADM, TEAM, CAR, BAND, BLDR, COG, CPT, CATM, CVNA, CAKE, COLM, DVA, DECK, DVN, DRQ, EMN, LOCO, ETH, RE, EXAS, FB, FLEX, FND, HIG, ILMN, KTOS, LMAT, LPSN, MTZ, MGM, MHK, MSI, NTUS, NUVA, PLT, PSMT, WDEL, RMD, SGEN, SHAK, SKX, SM, SPXC, SBUX, SYK, TRUP, TWTR, X, OLED, UHS, VRTX, VRTU, WWE, ZEN
Earlier than the bell: ABBV, MO, AXL, AON, BAH, BR, CBOE, CHTR, CVX, CL, XOM, FTS, GT, HON, ITT, KKR, LHX, MMP, NWL, PSX, PBI, UAA, WPC, WY
Sector and Trade Sentiment
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